Where There is No Vision
Quoted in chapter 3 of The Science of Success:
Where there is no vision, the people perish.
—Proverbs 29:18
Archive for the ‘ Insights ’ Category
Quoted in chapter 3 of The Science of Success:
Where there is no vision, the people perish.
—Proverbs 29:18
Quoted in chapter 1 of The Science of Success:
He that would know what shall be, must consider what hath been.
Last week I was driving in the typical nasty conditions of Rockies in winter when my windshield got dirty. So I pulled the lever for fluid and got… nothing.
I tried again, holding for a few seconds this time and still no fluid.
I pulled over at the next gas station and checked the reservoir. It looked empty, at least in the visible portion. Aha! So I went into the station and bought the most expensive washer fluid I have ever purchased.
I filled the reservoir. Still no fluid. Bummer. Since temperatures were well below freezing, squeegees were not available at the gas pumps. I was stuck with a dirty windshield with my family in the car on 65 mph 2-lane highways.
The issue may sound minor, but a dirty windshield limits visibility, and when the sun shines brightly on it, one can hardly see a thing.
Since safety was now a factor and a permanent fix was not immediately available, the first question is how to mitigate the risk. So I cleared the windshield as well as I could and exercised extra caution on the way home.
As soon as I got home, I took the vehicle out of service and began to troubleshoot. By the end of the repair process, I summarized the problem as follows (click for full size):
In terms of goals, there were three that were impacted. First, there was the increased risk of a safety incident. Second, I had to buy a new washer fluid pump. Third, I had to spend time troubleshooting and fixing the pump and lines.
Since I don’t want to do this again, I traced the causes through a cause map (click for full size):
It turned out that I was unable to pump washer fluid due to a combination of solid contamination and freezing in the pump and the lines.
How did contamination enter the system? It could have come in with new fluid (unlikely) or it could have entered from the environment (far more likely).
Why did it enter from the environment? Because there is no tight seal on top of the reservoir. There is merely a cap that it not air tight.
Since this is a difficult problem to solve since air needs to enter the tank anyway as the level drops, I decided not to attempt to address the problem from this angle except for flushing out the reservoir and cleaning and checking the inlet strainer (which was fine).
Besides, the failure development period for the contamination was 11 years. I probably won’t have the car in another 11 years, and I saw no reason why the failure should happen faster next time.
The freezing issue is different. In this case, I examined the fluid I had in “inventory” at home. The fluid, which I purchased in a much warmer climate, was rated to 0°F, was more than adequate for driving conditions at the time.
When I moved to the bitter cold, I never replaced the fluid. Therefore, the human error involved is operator negligence. I changed the operating context of my equipment without maintaining my vehicle properly.
The solution? I will purchase and use washer fluid rated for -20°F weather. That will not completely eliminate the risk of freezing in this climate, but it will seriously reduce it. I will proactively do the same for my other vehicle.
My family’s safety is worth an extra buck.

"You take the blue pill – the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill – you stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit-hole goes."—Morpheus
In The Matrix (1999), Keanu Reeves’ character Thomas Anderson has to make a choice. Humankind has been enslaved by robots, who plug them into a massive virtual reality system and then use their heat and bioelectric energy to sustain themselves. Mr. Anderson doesn’t know this yet, and is offered the opportunity to take the red pill—and learn this unpleasant truth—or take the blue pill—and go back to his “normal life” in The Matrix.
Fortunately for moviegoers, Mr. Anderson takes the red pill and the movie continues on.
The scene where Mr. Anderson chooses the red pill has become a classic pop culture reference. Taking the red pill is now a euphemism for acceptance of stark reality, and the blue pill is the modern symbol for burying your head in the sand.
Stephen Covey articulated the concept of “P/PC balance” in The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People. P refers to production, and PC refers to productive capacity.
If I own a car I can skip the scheduled oil change and drive more miles, but the life of the engine will be shortened. Therefore, I have sacrificed PC to P. If I have the scheduled maintenance performed, then I will get more miles out of the car and extend the service life. Since changing the oil doesn’t take much time and is a minor expense, it raises my return on capital invested to perform the maintenance.
But I might say that I have an important trip to make, and I’m too busy to do the job myself or too broke to spend $30 at the local quickie lube. By factoring in only my next week of ownership, this conclusion makes perfect sense.
Yet, as Thomas Jefferson is attributed as saying “Those who think they have not time for bodily exercise will sooner or later have to find time for illness.” Those who think they have not time (or money) for maintenance will sooner or later have to find time (and money) for breakdowns.
Taking the blue pill can be more comfortable in the moment, but leads to pain later on. As Epicureans are fond of pointing out, “A lesser pain today that avoids a greater pain tomorrow is to be embraced.”
As Chin Ning-Chu points out in Thick Face, Black Heart, modern western culture is not too good at taking painful preventive measures for the greater good. That needs to change, and that change begins with the red pill.
In terms of asset reliability, to take the red pill is to recognize what your gaps are, including “undiscussable” or sensitive gaps. Such gaps might include:
Sensitive topics, also known as Crucial Conversations, are actually crossroads. They are the choice between the red pill and the blue pill. For an integrated approach to raising these sensitive issues effectively, I highly recommend that title.
Standardization is often seen as a rival to innovation, creativity, and entrepreneurship. Henry Ford would not agree with that assessment.
If you think of standardization as the best that you know today, but which is to be improved tomorrow; you get somewhere.
—Henry Ford, Today and Tomorrow
Quoted in chapter 8 of The Science of Success:
Innovation is the specific tool of entrepreneurs, the means by which they exploit change as an opportunity for a different business or a different service. It is capable of being learned, capable of being practiced. Entrepreneurs need to search purposefully for the sources of innovation, the changes and their symptoms that indicate opportunities for successful innovation. And they need to know and to apply the principles of successful innovation.
—Peter Drucker
One of the most powerful ideas from Crucial Conversations—and elaborated in Crucial Confrontations
—was Master My Stories. Master My Stories is a method of understanding how what we see leads to what we do. Understanding this mental model helps in two ways: in controlling the stories you tell yourself and in understanding how others react to what happens in their life.
A good description begins with how feelings result in actions. The typical mental model people have is that they observe someone or something, they feel based on what they see, then they act based on their feelings.
A common misconception is that how we act is based on how we feel, which is a product of what we see and hear.
The authors make the argument that this model misses a step. In between observing and feeling, we tell ourselves a story. That is, we fill in the gaps in our knowledge with a narrative.
A more accurate model of action according to Patterson is that after we see & hear, we tell ourselves a story, which causes feelings, which lead to action.
For example, let’s say someone makes an ambiguous comment to you: “Your hair looks nicer than it usually does. Did you get it cut?” While the commenter is perhaps lacking in sensitivity, the receiver of the comment has a choice: They can tell themselves a story wherein the commenter meant well, or they can tell a story where the commenter meant ill.
If the receiver convinces themself that despite a lack of tact the commenter meant well, they feel fine and act appropriately.
But if the receiver convinces themself that the commenter was making a backhanded criticism of their “usual hairstyle,” then they may get angry and act out their anger by resorting to silence (withdrawal) or violence (e.g. a snide or sarcastic rejoinder).
Either way, the receiver has made many assumptions about the situation, the character, and the intent of the commenter. However, one story leads to poor feelings and resentment, and the other leads to a pleasant conversation and a better day. Which is the more productive mindset?
To get control of your own behavior, start with how you are acting. Is your behavior consistent with what you really want? If you want more affection from your significant other, is your sullen silence ever going to achieve that? If your behavior will not logically get you where you want, it’s time to explore further.
Next, ask what emotions are leading to that behavior. For example, you feel bitter, which is leading to sullen silence.
Next, explore the story that is creating the emotions. In our example, you feel bitter because your partner has been ignoring you and disregarding your attempts at conversation. It is because they are obsessed with their work and don’t really care about what’s going on in your life.
Finally, examine the evidence supporting this story. Our significant other has been spending an increasing amount of time at work. That’s it.
Is the story “clever?” Does it feature archetypes like the villain and the victim? Simplistic stories seldom match reality. They often gloss over “the victim’s” role in creating the problem.
Continuing our story from above, it turns out that our partner is worried about money and is doing extra work, either for overtime or job security. The reason they are worried about money is that over the last three months the credit card bill has increased significantly. The reason the bill has increased is some frivolous impulse purchases we have made.
With this knowledge in hand, we can no longer play victim to a mean-spirited, villainous, insensitive significant other.
A useful question to ask is, “Why would a decent, rational, and reasonable person act this way?” It forces you to tell yourself a different story.
At the same time you’re telling yourself stories, others are doing the same. What stories are they telling themselves about you? Upon what evidence are they telling those stories? How did your actions lead to that story being told?
It’s possible that they their story, with you as leading villain, is exaggerated. Maybe your well-intentioned suggestion has resulted in your becoming an insufferable know-it-all. If you wish to preserve the relationship, your next step is to persuade them that the story is false. Recognize that until the story changes, the feelings won’t change.
Or, you can get upset and choose to play the role that has been created for you and make snide comments sure to offend. Then again, what do you really want?
Some time ago, I sat transfixed as an industrial operations leader explained to a large group of employees that they would no longer be provided with checklists and procedures. Going forward they would learn to be “entrepreneurial,” and do their jobs without such “authoritarian” tools.
This paradigm was confirmed by a machine operator who told me on another occasion that in their area, they did not use procedures to start equipment, while “over there” in another area, their brutally authoritarian supervisor made them turn in various check sheets.
Both areas had an issue that was overloading certain bearings, resulting in serious maintenance expense and downtime. When investigation brought to light the role of the equipment startup procedure in overloading the bearings, guess which area was better able to institutionalize the new knowledge?
The day that the operations leader spoke about entrepreneurship, I was transfixed because I had been communicating the opposite message to many of these employees for weeks!
In another interesting situation, a new procedure was developed for doing a dangerous task. The new procedure was clearly better for safety and for the equipment. Safety incidents had resulted from doing the procedure the old way. However, it did take longer to perform the task, and the task was generally performed under time pressure. Yet, the environment where the new procedure was introduced was one in which challenge was encouraged when new procedures were inferior.
What should an entrepreneurial employee have done when the new procedure was introduced and explained? Some employees embraced it. Others ignored it. There were no consequences for those who neither followed it nor challenged it.
Did the executive leadership have such situations in mind when they spoke of decision rights and innovation? I highly doubt it.
One fascinating development related to the movement to empower employees has been what I have termed “downward innovation.”
Typically, when leaders speak of innovation and entrepreneurship, they are referring to implementing employee ideas on completing tasks more effectively, with less waste and redundancy, and to higher standards of quality. As owners of the means of production, the theory goes, employees will be have a strong incentive to ensure their livelihood, often in the form of equipment, stays working.
Yet, newly “empowered” employees sometimes do the opposite. Rather than raise standards, they decide to lower them. Rather than taking extra time to do a job, they use their new authority to take shortcuts… and then resist change when new knowledge reveals better ways of producing.
None of this is to say that empowering employees with decision rights is the wrong thing to do. The question of how much authority to give an employee requires systems thinking, rather than right-wrong blanket decisions. Here are a series of questions to ask when considering shifting decision rights to employees:
What would you do to avoid Downward Innovation?
My notes on chapter 5 of The Science of Success by Charles Koch:
| If you observe these SYMPTOMS | The root cause may be in this MBM DIMENSION | These MBM MODELS may help create the solution |
|
KNOWLEDGE PROCESSES |
|
From another document showing what happens when a piece (knowledge processes) of the MBM framework goes missing (click for full size):
|
MBM |
Results |
Tools |
| Knowledge Processes | Value is created for customers and the company by acquiring, sharing, vetting, and applying knowledge and measuring key business drivers. |
|
In addition to answering these questions for yourself, how are you ensuring your direct reports are striving to get results with their own direct reports?
| “Creating, acquiring, sharing and applying relevant knowledge, and measuring and tracking profitability.”You acquire and share relevant knowledge. You measure profitability and value created. Results are appropriately communicated. You and your direct reports share bad news as quickly as good news. Decision making is continually improved through effective challenge. |
|
| Kind of Idea |
Relationship to Authentication Process |
| Theory | Systematically prepared for authentication |
| Vision | Not derived from any systematic process |
| Illusion | Could not survive any reasonable authentication process |
| Myth | Exempts itself from any authentication process |
| Fact | Has already passed authentication processes |
| Falsehood | Known to have failed, or certain to fail, authentication (includes both mistakes and lies) |


My notes on chapter 4 of The Science of Success by Charles Koch:
Question:Is this diagram, described by Koch, correct? Does Rule of Law (or lack thereof) have an effect on values and beliefs or group culture? Where do the Rules of Just Conduct come from? This diagram from a lecture given by Leonard Peikoff may be instructive:
Virtues & Talents section of a handout on MBM mental models:
|
If you observe these SYMPTOMS |
The root cause may be in this MBM DIMENSION |
These MBM MODELS may help create the solution |
|
VIRTUE & TALENTS |
|
From another document showing what happens when a piece of the MBM framework goes missing (click for full-size image):
| MBM | Results | Tools |
| Virtue & Talents | The right people with the right values and skills are working in the right jobs. |
|
In addition to answering these questions for yourself, how are you ensuring your direct reports are striving to get results with their own direct reports?
| “Helping ensure that people with the right values, skills and capabilities are hired, retained, and developed.”You understand your talent position and continually develop the culture and talent necessary to create value and improve your competitive position. Everyone in your group is personally committed to applying MBM and exemplifying the MBM Guiding Principles. |
|
The difference between “talking the talk” and “walking the walk” is one of form versus substance. Merely talking the talk, whether intentionally or unintentionally, is unacceptable, and obstructs our goal of a self-sustaining MBM culture.
Application
A challenge process is essential if we are to develop substance rather than form. Every employee has three responsibilities in this regard: 1) to openly accept constructive feedback (from any employee) about how well we are practicing MBM; 2) to tactfully, respectfully, and honestly confront employees who do not properly apply
MBM or GP principles; and, 3) to continually examine our own behavior and thinking, and to improve our ability to apply MBM in our unique roles.
Summary: Skills, aptitudes, and the ability to profitably apply knowledge are all valuable talents. A person’s particular mixture of talents relative to others determines his comparative advantage. Multiple talents residing in one individual often interact to create more value than the same talents spread across several individuals. Teams are still important, however, because they offer unique advantages when formed with attention to achieving a diverse blend of talents.
Listed Aptitudes:
Summary: A person’s comparative advantage is that at which she creates more value than she could given her other options. One’s comparative advantage can change with one’s skills, the skills of other team members, or the needs of the team. An organization’s success depends in part on its ability to motivate and empower people to find and exercise their comparative advantages.
This is similar to Gary North’s definition of calling, which is more concise: “That which you do best and where you would be most difficult to replace.” Meaning: the opportunity cost of replacing you in that particular function is too high. Example: it was costlier to replace Babe Ruth with another batter than it was to replace him as a pitcher even though he was the best at both because the second best pitcher was closer to him in performance than the second best batter. Therefore, batting was what he did best and where he was most difficult to replace.
Application
Comparative advantage is a somewhat abstract concept that is based on factors that can change quickly. One way to handle this uncertainty is to think about a few key questions:
- Is what you work on from day to day the most valuable thing you could be doing for your team, given its current vision and talent, and given your capabilities?
- What valuable activities do you give up to work on your current projects or activities? Which are worth more to GP?
- Are you flexible in response to changing conditions and problems facing your team, or do you go about your work in the same way month after month?
- What are you doing to develop yourself so that your comparative advantage changes into more valuable activities, especially activities for which you have a passion?
Horney believed that neurosis could occur sporadically in life (rather than existing continuously in a person) and were not always a response to negative stimulus.
From Wikipedia, the ten patterns of neurosis:
Moving Toward People (Compliance/Self-Effacement)
1. The need for affection and approval; pleasing others and being liked by them.
2. The need for a partner; one whom they can love and who will solve all problems.
Moving Against People (Aggression/Expansiveness)
3. The need for power; the ability to bend wills and achieve control over others—while most persons seek strength, the neurotic may be desperate for it.
4. The need to exploit others; to get the better of them. To become manipulative, fostering the belief that people are there simply to be used.
5. The need for social recognition; prestige and limelight.
6. The need for personal admiration; for both inner and outer qualities—to be valued.
7. The need for personal achievement; though virtually all persons wish to make achievements, as with No. 3, the neurotic may be desperate for achievement.
Moving Away from People (Detachment/Resignation)
8. The need for self sufficiency and independence; while most desire some autonomy, the neurotic may simply wish to discard other individuals entirely.
9. The need for perfection; while many are driven to perfect their lives in the form of well being, the neurotic may display a fear of being slightly flawed.
10. Lastly, the need to restrict life practices to within narrow borders; to live as inconspicuous a life as possible.
The last coping strategy (“moving with” people) is thought to develop psychologically health relationships. This is the path of “compromise.” The other strategies are unhealthy and neurotic.
A fascinating letter that touches upon matters eugenic and dysgenic. Starts upon the subject of sex for pleasure vs. procreation (advocating the latter), moves into transmissibility of qualities through generations, and then moves into the paragraph from which Charles Koch collects his quote:
For I agree with you that there is a natural aristocracy among men. The grounds of this are virtue and talents. Formerly bodily powers gave place among the aristoi. But since the invention of gunpowder has armed the weak as well as the strong with missile death, bodily strength, like beauty, good humor, politeness and other accomplishments, has become but an auxiliary ground of distinction. There is also an artificial aristocracy founded on wealth and birth, without either virtue or talents; for with these it would belong to the first class. The natural aristocracy I consider as the most precious gift of nature for the instruction, the trusts, and government of society. And indeed it would have been inconsistent in creation to have formed man for the social state, and not to have provided virtue and wisdom enough to manage the concerns of the society. May we not even say that that form of government is the best which provides the most effectually for a pure selection of these natural aristoi into the offices of government? The artificial aristocracy is a mischievous ingredient in government, and provision should be made to prevent it’s ascendancy.
The paragraph has several key messages:
Continuing, Jefferson frames his political difference with Adams in terms of dealing with the artificial aristocracy. Jefferson claims Adams would segregate it in a separate legislative body to protect it from plunder by what is today called populists. Jefferson counters that this arms them for increased mischief.
Following, Jefferson expresses the naive belief that free men will elect the natural aristocracy to leadership of their own accord!
The next key passage describes measures taken to thwart the artificial aristocracy by limiting rights of inheritance, including:
Abolishment of inheritance rights appears to have been a primary goal of Jefferson as he describes another bill to fight entrenchment which failed to pass: free public education!
Worth and genius would thus have been sought out from every condition of life, and completely prepared by education for defeating the competition of wealth and birth for public trusts.
Jefferson concludes the letter in an increasingly personal manner and is of less interest to the subject of Virtues & Talents.
Here is the entire paragraph from which Charles Koch excerpts his quote:
The Noble is that which is both desirable for its own sake and also worthy of praise; or that which is both good and also pleasant because good. If this is a true definition of the Noble, it follows that virtue must be noble, since it is both a good thing and also praiseworthy. Virtue is, according to the usual view, a faculty of providing and preserving good things; or a faculty of conferring many great benefits, and benefits of all kinds on all occasions. [1366b] The forms of Virtue are justice, courage, temperance, magnificence, magnanimity, liberality, gentleness, prudence, wisdom. If virtue is a faculty of beneficence, the highest kinds of it must be those which are most useful to others, and for this reason men honour most the just and the courageous, since courage is useful to others in war, justice both in war and in peace. Next comes liberality; liberal people let their money go instead of fighting for it, whereas other people care more for money than for anything else. Justice is the virtue through which everybody enjoys his own possessions in accordance with the law; its opposite is injustice, through which men enjoy the possessions of others in defiance of the law. Courage is the virtue that disposes men to do noble deeds in situations of danger, in accordance with the law and in obedience to its commands; cowardice is the opposite. Temperance is the virtue that disposes us to obey the law where physical pleasures are concerned; incontinence is the opposite. Liberality disposes us to spend money for others’ good; illiberality is the opposite. Magnanimity is the virtue that disposes us to do good to others on a large scale; [its opposite is meanness of spirit]. Magnificence is a virtue productive of greatness in matters involving the spending of money. The opposites of these two are smallness of spirit and meanness respectively. Prudence is that virtue of the understanding which enables men to come to wise decisions about the relation to happiness of the goods and evils that have been previously mentioned.
Question: Why are productivity and voluntary trade absent from Aristotle’s list? Several of his virtues are economic: liberality, magnanimity, magnificence, and prudence. Ethical virtues would be justice, courage, temperance, gentleness, and wisdom.
Question: If courage is doing noble deeds in dangerous situations consistent with the law, how is gentleness defined so as not to conflict with courage? Aristotle does not define gentleness as he does with the other virtues.
The quote attributed to Bastiat is, “the surest way to have the laws respected is to make them respectable.” While a book of “selected essays” is referenced as the source, the quote comes from The Law, and here is the context:
The Results of Legal Plunder
It is impossible to introduce into society a greater change and a greater evil than this: the conversion of the law into an instrument of plunder.
What are the consequences of such a perversion? It would require volumes to describe them all. Thus we must content ourselves with pointing out the most striking.
In the first place, it erases from everyone’s conscience the distinction between justice and injustice.
No society can exist unless the laws are respected to a certain degree. The safest way to make laws respected is to make them respectable. When law and morality contradict each other, the citizen has the cruel alternative of either losing his moral sense or losing his respect for the law. These two evils are of equal consequence, and it would be difficult for a person to choose between them.
The nature of law is to maintain justice. This is so much the case that, in the minds of the people, law and justice are one and the same thing. There is in all of us a strong disposition to believe that anything lawful is also legitimate. This belief is so widespread that many persons have erroneously held that things are “just” because law makes them so. Thus, in order to make plunder appear just and sacred to many consciences, it is only necessary for the law to decree and sanction it. Slavery, restrictions, and monopoly find defenders not only among those who profit from them but also among those who suffer from them.
Some observations:
Howard Gardner goes into much more detail on each of the intelligences described in SoS. Here are a few notes from the brief excerpt available on Amazon:


This blog, linked to from the MBM Blog, presents a very politically-incorrect picture of introverts and their capabilities.